🏆 Title fight
Main
Middleweight
Dricus Du Plessis vs Sean Strickland
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2
·Qudos Bank Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Dricus Du Plessis
Sean Strickland
58%
42%
Why
76"
Reach
76"
31
Age
Δ 3y
34
24-3
Career record
Δ 7 pp
32-7
W8
Current streak
W1
8
UFC fights in our DB
22
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 5
Du Plessis: 147 sig / 1 TD ·
Strickland: 128 sig / 0 TD
Dricus Du Plessis
Sean Strickland
120
Sig strikes landed
119
280
Sig strikes attempted
255
141
Total strikes landed
129
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.6
4.4
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
177s
Control time
43s
Method
Decision
67%
KO/TKO
27%
Submission
7%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W8
Dricus Du Plessis
"Stillknocks"
24-3
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Switch
Age
31
In our database
8 fights · 8-0
Last 5
W
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya
—
W
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Ples…
—
W
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodrig…
—
W
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane
—
W
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev
—
Blue corner
W1
Sean Strickland
32-7
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
22 fights · 16-6
Last 5
W
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier
—
L
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Ples…
—
W
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs.…
—