Main
Bantamweight
Adrian Yanez vs Daniel Marcos
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley
·Amalie Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Adrian Yanez
Daniel Marcos
44%
56%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 1"
69"
31
Age
Δ 1y
32
18-6-1
Career record
Δ 23 pp
19-1
W1
Current streak
W3
8
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Yanez: 79 sig / 0 TD ·
Marcos: 86 sig / 2 TD
Adrian Yanez
Daniel Marcos
53
Sig strikes landed
61
139
Sig strikes attempted
135
56
Total strikes landed
75
0.0
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.1
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
5s
Control time
79s
Method
Decision
64%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
6%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Adrian Yanez
18-6-1
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
8 fights · 6-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Mu…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Bar…
—
L
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emm…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate
—
Blue corner
W3
Daniel Marcos
"Soncora"
19-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
4 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. T…
—
W
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill
—