Main
Light Heavyweight
Vitor Petrino vs Dustin Jacoby
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley
·Amalie Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Vitor Petrino
Dustin Jacoby
74%
26%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 2"
76"
27
Age
Δ 9y
37
14-3
Career record
Δ 16 pp
22-10-1
L1
Current streak
L2
5
UFC fights in our DB
14
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Petrino: 40 sig / 0 TD ·
Jacoby: 45 sig / 0 TD
Vitor Petrino
Dustin Jacoby
45
Sig strikes landed
48
102
Sig strikes attempted
87
63
Total strikes landed
58
1.8
Takedowns landed
0.1
4.7
Takedowns attempted
0.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
183s
Control time
48s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Vitor Petrino
14-3
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
L
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Le…
—
W
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodrig…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalis…
—
Blue corner
L2
Dustin Jacoby
"The Hanyak"
22-10-1
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database
14 fights · 7-6
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
L
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. A…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. All…
—