Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Vicente Luque
Themba Gorimbo
66%
34%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 2"
77"
33
Age
Δ 1y
34
24-13-1
Career record
Δ 5 pp
15-7
L1
Current streak
W4
21
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Luque: 2 sig / 0 TD ·
Gorimbo: 5 sig / 0 TD
Vicente Luque
Themba Gorimbo
50
Sig strikes landed
40
92
Sig strikes attempted
74
70
Total strikes landed
63
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.7
1.4
Takedowns attempted
5.6
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
93s
Control time
211s
Method
Decision
52%
KO/TKO
31%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Vicente Luque
"The Silent Assassin"
24-13-1
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
21 fights · 15-6
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muha…
—
W
UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane
—
Blue corner
W4
Themba Gorimbo
"Mamba"
15-7
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Tai…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Mu…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Im…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Bl…
—