Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Randy Brown
Bryan Battle
51%
49%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 1"
77"
34
Age
Δ 4y
30
21-8
Career record
Δ 15 pp
14-2
W3
Current streak
W3
18
UFC fights in our DB
8
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Brown: 60 sig / 2 TD ·
Battle: 57 sig / 0 TD
Randy Brown
Bryan Battle
57
Sig strikes landed
48
107
Sig strikes attempted
102
62
Total strikes landed
63
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.9
1.8
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
105s
Control time
109s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
43%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Randy Brown
"Rudeboy"
21-8
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
18 fights · 13-5
Last 5
W
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Im…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Top…
—
L
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanov…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan
—
Blue corner
W3
Bryan Battle
"The Butcher"
14-2
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
8 fights · 6-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Sa…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gam…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill
—