Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Xiao Long
Quang Le
87%
13%
Why
70"
Reach
70"
27
Age
Δ 6y
33
27-12
Career record
Δ 0 pp
9-4
L1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Long: 87 sig / 0 TD ·
Le: 64 sig / 1 TD
Xiao Long
Quang Le
43
Sig strikes landed
30
70
Sig strikes attempted
74
84
Total strikes landed
65
1.3
Takedowns landed
2.9
2.2
Takedowns attempted
7.3
0.40
Knockdowns
-0.10
192s
Control time
237s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
24%
Submission
36%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Xiao Long
27-12
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—
Blue corner
L1
Quang Le
"Bang"
9-4
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spi…
—