Back to UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo
Prelims1 Women's Strawweight

Shi Ming vs Feng Xiaocan

UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo ·Galaxy Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Shi Ming
Feng Xiaocan
56% 44%
Why
60"
Reach
Δ 7"
67"
30
Age
Δ 7y
23

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Ming: 30 sig / 1 TD · Xiaocan: 48 sig / 0 TD
Shi Ming
Feng Xiaocan
34
Sig strikes landed
37
58
Sig strikes attempted
80
71
Total strikes landed
66
1.5
Takedowns landed
0.5
2.7
Takedowns attempted
1.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
198s
Control time
119s
Method
Decision
49%
KO/TKO
27%
Submission
23%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Shi Ming

0-0
Career record
Height
62"
Reach
60"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
Blue corner

Feng Xiaocan

"Little Flower"
0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
23