Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Kiru Sahota
DongHun Choi
52%
48%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 6"
66"
30
Age
Δ 4y
26
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Sahota: 2 sig / 0 TD ·
Choi: 12 sig / 0 TD
Kiru Sahota
DongHun Choi
37
Sig strikes landed
32
77
Sig strikes attempted
68
55
Total strikes landed
73
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.6
1.5
Takedowns attempted
3.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
127s
Control time
202s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
26%
Submission
34%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Kiru Sahota
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
Blue corner
DongHun Choi
0-0
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
67"
Stance
Switch
Age
26