Main
Light Heavyweight
Volkan Oezdemir vs Carlos Ulberg
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo
·Galaxy Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Volkan Oezdemir
Carlos Ulberg
50%
50%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 2"
77"
35
Age
Δ 1y
34
22-8
Career record
Δ 21 pp
16-1
W2
Current streak
W6
14
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Oezdemir: 96 sig / 0 TD ·
Ulberg: 98 sig / 0 TD
Volkan Oezdemir
Carlos Ulberg
52
Sig strikes landed
59
110
Sig strikes attempted
113
52
Total strikes landed
61
0.3
Takedowns landed
0.4
1.9
Takedowns attempted
0.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.50
42s
Control time
46s
Method
Decision
32%
KO/TKO
57%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Volkan Oezdemir
"No Time"
22-8
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
14 fights · 8-6
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac
—
L
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. As…
—
L
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira
—
Blue corner
W6
Carlos Ulberg
"Black Jag"
16-1
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
7 fights · 6-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nasc…
—
W
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—
W
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. …
—