Main
Women's Flyweight
Wang Cong vs Gabriella Fernandes
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo
·Galaxy Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Wang Cong
Gabriella Fernandes
68%
32%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 0"
66"
32
Age
Δ 1y
31
10-1
Career record
Δ 16 pp
12-4
W1
Current streak
W1
1
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Cong: 46 sig / 0 TD ·
Fernandes: 18 sig / 0 TD
Wang Cong
Gabriella Fernandes
40
Sig strikes landed
34
118
Sig strikes attempted
91
56
Total strikes landed
44
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.3
2.2
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.30
Knockdowns
0.00
187s
Control time
81s
Method
Decision
64%
KO/TKO
19%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Wang Cong
"The Joker"
10-1
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
33
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
Blue corner
W1
Gabriella Fernandes
"Gabi"
12-4
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Ca…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen
—