Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Jim Miller
Damon Jackson
64%
36%
Why
71"
Reach
71"
41
Age
Δ 5y
36
39-20
Career record
Δ 4 pp
23-9-1
L1
Current streak
L1
39
UFC fights in our DB
13
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Miller: 10 sig / 0 TD ·
Jackson: 16 sig / 0 TD
Jim Miller
Damon Jackson
23
Sig strikes landed
44
71
Sig strikes attempted
80
47
Total strikes landed
56
0.5
Takedowns landed
2.7
1.1
Takedowns attempted
4.0
0.30
Knockdowns
0.00
179s
Control time
209s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
26%
Submission
34%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Jim Miller
"A-10"
39-20
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
41
In our database
39 fights · 22-16
Last 5
L
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. W…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Bl…
—
W
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier
—
Blue corner
L1
Damon Jackson
"The Leech"
23-9-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
71"
Stance
Switch
Age
36
In our database
13 fights · 6-5
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spi…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curt…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—