Back to UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic
Prelims2 Welterweight

Mickey Gall vs Ramiz Brahimaj

UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic ·Madison Square Garden
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Mickey Gall
Ramiz Brahimaj
35% 65%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 2"
72"
33
Age
Δ 1y
32
7-8
Career record
Δ 18 pp
13-7
L3
Current streak
L1
12
UFC fights in our DB
5

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Gall: 28 sig / 0 TD · Brahimaj: 31 sig / 0 TD
Mickey Gall
Ramiz Brahimaj
24
Sig strikes landed
31
46
Sig strikes attempted
59
32
Total strikes landed
55
0.3
Takedowns landed
1.9
0.9
Takedowns attempted
3.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
76s
Control time
225s
Method
Decision
22%
KO/TKO
43%
Submission
35%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L3

Mickey Gall

7-8
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
74"
Stance
Switch
Age
33
In our database 12 fights · 6-6
Last 5
L UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier
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L UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Ko…
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L UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo
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W UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
L UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Ho…
—
Blue corner
L1

Ramiz Brahimaj

13-7
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database 5 fights · 2-3
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Mu…
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W UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. …
—
L UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chi…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
L UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Tei…
—