Main
Women's Flyweight
Viviane Araujo vs Karine Silva
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic
·Madison Square Garden
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Viviane Araujo
Karine Silva
32%
68%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 1"
67"
38
Age
Δ 7y
31
13-8
Career record
Δ 12 pp
20-7
L1
Current streak
W4
11
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Araujo: 48 sig / 3 TD ·
Silva: 58 sig / 1 TD
Viviane Araujo
Karine Silva
35
Sig strikes landed
45
78
Sig strikes attempted
102
50
Total strikes landed
70
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.3
2.3
Takedowns attempted
3.4
0.00
Knockdowns
0.20
131s
Control time
175s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
21%
Submission
38%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Viviane Araujo
"Vivi"
13-8
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
38
In our database
11 fights · 6-5
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Im…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Bar…
—
L
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Ara…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—
Blue corner
W4
Karine Silva
"Killer"
20-7
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
4 fights · 4-0
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Pe…
—
W
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Roz…
—