Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Luis Gurule
Nick Piccininni
55%
45%
Why
64"
Reach
Δ 2"
66"
31
Age
Δ 3y
28
—
Current streak
W1
0
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Gurule: 105 sig / 0 TD ·
Piccininni: 64 sig / 10 TD
Luis Gurule
Nick Piccininni
36
Sig strikes landed
33
68
Sig strikes attempted
69
57
Total strikes landed
48
0.4
Takedowns landed
2.2
1.6
Takedowns attempted
5.0
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
132s
Control time
279s
Method
Decision
71%
KO/TKO
12%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Luis Gurule
"Grim"
0-0
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
Blue corner
W1
Nick Piccininni
8-1
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
DWCS 8.3
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