Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Kody Steele
Chasen Blair
63%
37%
Why
71"
Reach
71"
30
Age
Δ 4y
26
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Steele: 48 sig / 0 TD ·
Blair: 48 sig / 0 TD
Kody Steele
Chasen Blair
34
Sig strikes landed
35
72
Sig strikes attempted
75
46
Total strikes landed
46
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.7
1.8
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
163s
Control time
105s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
39%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Kody Steele
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
Blue corner
Chasen Blair
"Mestizo"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26