Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Islem Masraf
Artem Vakhitov
66%
34%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 0"
75"
28
Age
Δ 5y
34
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Masraf: 3 sig / 0 TD ·
Vakhitov: 17 sig / 0 TD
Islem Masraf
Artem Vakhitov
29
Sig strikes landed
29
61
Sig strikes attempted
59
42
Total strikes landed
40
0.4
Takedowns landed
0.4
1.4
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.40
Knockdowns
0.30
114s
Control time
108s
Method
Decision
30%
KO/TKO
52%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Islem Masraf
"Lightning"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28
Blue corner
Artem Vakhitov
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34