Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Joey Hart
Benjamin Bennett
59%
41%
Why
79"
Reach
Δ 6"
73"
27
Age
Δ 3y
30
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Hart: 68 sig / 0 TD ·
Bennett: 68 sig / 6 TD
Joey Hart
Benjamin Bennett
34
Sig strikes landed
32
78
Sig strikes attempted
68
47
Total strikes landed
45
0.3
Takedowns landed
0.8
0.6
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
100s
Control time
163s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Joey Hart
"The Hitman"
0-0
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
Blue corner
Benjamin Bennett
"Mr. Alaska"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Switch
Age
30