Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Junior Tafa
Sean Sharaf
61%
39%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 2"
77"
28
Age
Δ 3y
31
L2
Current streak
—
4
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Tafa: 71 sig / 0 TD ·
Sharaf: 53 sig / 1 TD
Junior Tafa
Sean Sharaf
23
Sig strikes landed
28
48
Sig strikes attempted
49
25
Total strikes landed
44
0.4
Takedowns landed
0.5
0.6
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.40
Knockdowns
0.30
52s
Control time
125s
Method
Decision
22%
KO/TKO
56%
Submission
21%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Junior Tafa
"The Juggernaut"
7-6
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
4 fights · 1-3
Last 4
L
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya
—
L
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. T…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. …
—
Blue corner
Sean Sharaf
"The Smoke"
0-0
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31