Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Themba Gorimbo
Niko Price
66%
34%
Why
77"
Reach
Δ 1"
76"
34
Age
Δ 1y
35
15-7
Career record
Δ 7 pp
17-11
W3
Current streak
W1
4
UFC fights in our DB
17
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Gorimbo: 68 sig / 7 TD ·
Price: 16 sig / 0 TD
Themba Gorimbo
Niko Price
36
Sig strikes landed
36
75
Sig strikes attempted
71
56
Total strikes landed
43
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.5
4.7
Takedowns attempted
1.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
218s
Control time
68s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
31%
Submission
25%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Themba Gorimbo
"Mamba"
15-7
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Mu…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Im…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Bl…
—
Blue corner
W1
Niko Price
"The Hybrid"
17-11
(2 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
17 fights · 8-7
Last 5
W
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier
—
L
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodrig…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. H…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Wal…
—
L
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3
—