Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Dan Argueta
Cody Haddon
43%
57%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 1"
69"
31
Age
Δ 5y
26
L1
Current streak
—
5
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Argueta: 54 sig / 4 TD ·
Haddon: 140 sig / 2 TD
Dan Argueta
Cody Haddon
30
Sig strikes landed
38
60
Sig strikes attempted
68
54
Total strikes landed
64
1.9
Takedowns landed
1.3
4.4
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.00
Knockdowns
0.40
207s
Control time
177s
Method
Decision
56%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
23%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Dan Argueta
"The Determined"
9-4
(2 NC)
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31
In our database
5 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curt…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs.…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Roz…
—
Blue corner
Cody Haddon
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26