Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Chidi Njokuani
Jared Gooden
48%
52%
Why
80"
Reach
Δ 3"
77"
36
Age
Δ 5y
31
26-12
Career record
Δ 2 pp
24-10
W1
Current streak
W1
6
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Njokuani: 105 sig / 0 TD ·
Gooden: 20 sig / 2 TD
Chidi Njokuani
Jared Gooden
46
Sig strikes landed
48
103
Sig strikes attempted
91
60
Total strikes landed
63
0.5
Takedowns landed
0.6
1.4
Takedowns attempted
0.6
0.30
Knockdowns
0.40
77s
Control time
81s
Method
Decision
38%
KO/TKO
44%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Chidi Njokuani
"Bang Bang"
26-12
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. T…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandh…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira
—
Blue corner
W1
Jared Gooden
"NiteTrain"
24-10
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
6 fights · 2-4
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Ts…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalis…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Rodri…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Stric…
—
L
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou
—