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Main Bantamweight

Jake Hadley vs Cameron Smotherman

UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Jake Hadley
Cameron Smotherman
62% 38%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 1"
69"
28
Age
Δ 1y
27
W1
Current streak
—
6
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Hadley: 60 sig / 1 TD · Smotherman: 96 sig / 0 TD
Jake Hadley
Cameron Smotherman
39
Sig strikes landed
40
87
Sig strikes attempted
86
51
Total strikes landed
52
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.1
1.8
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
115s
Control time
125s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
22%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Jake Hadley

"White Kong"
12-4
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28
In our database 6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
W UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2
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L UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nasc…
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L UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
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W UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3
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W UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
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Blue corner

Cameron Smotherman

"The Baby-Faced Killa"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27