Prelims1
Women's Bantamweight
Joselyne Edwards vs Tamires Vidal
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Joselyne Edwards
Tamires Vidal
72%
28%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 2"
68"
29
Age
Δ 3y
26
18-7
Career record
Δ 14 pp
7-5
L2
Current streak
L2
8
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 3
Edwards: 81 sig / 4 TD ·
Vidal: 34 sig / 0 TD
Joselyne Edwards
Tamires Vidal
48
Sig strikes landed
36
104
Sig strikes attempted
85
81
Total strikes landed
58
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.6
1.9
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
211s
Control time
96s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
24%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Joselyne Edwards
"La Pantera"
18-7
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
8 fights · 4-4
Last 5
L
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. A…
—
W
UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2
—
W
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka
—
Blue corner
L2
Tamires Vidal
"Tractor"
7-5
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Mu…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gam…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—