Prelims1
Welterweight
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos vs Zachary Scroggin
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
Zachary Scroggin
64%
36%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 1"
74"
38
Age
Δ 9y
29
L1
Current streak
—
15
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Zaleski dos Santos: 11 sig / 0 TD ·
Scroggin: 3 sig / 0 TD
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
Zachary Scroggin
59
Sig strikes landed
43
111
Sig strikes attempted
106
76
Total strikes landed
48
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.6
1.7
Takedowns attempted
1.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
151s
Control time
97s
Method
Decision
55%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
"Capoeira"
25-11-1
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
38
In our database
15 fights · 10-4
Last 5
L
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier
—
D
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Le…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs…
—
W
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira
—
L
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal
—
Blue corner
Zachary Scroggin
0-0
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29