Back to UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates
Prelims1 Bantamweight

Cody Stamann vs Da'Mon Blackshear

UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Toss-up Confidence: High
Cody Stamann
Da'Mon Blackshear
51% 49%
Why
64"
Reach
Δ 8"
72"
35
Age
Δ 5y
30
21-9-1
Career record
Δ 5 pp
17-9-1
L2
Current streak
L2
14
UFC fights in our DB
6

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Stamann: 13 sig / 0 TD · Blackshear: 20 sig / 0 TD
Cody Stamann
Da'Mon Blackshear
62
Sig strikes landed
56
116
Sig strikes attempted
127
80
Total strikes landed
72
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.9
3.1
Takedowns attempted
3.0
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
135s
Control time
128s
Method
Decision
56%
KO/TKO
25%
Submission
19%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

Cody Stamann

"The Spartan"
21-9-1
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database 14 fights · 7-6
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
L UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—
W UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill
—
W UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emm…
—
L UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane
—
Blue corner
L2

Da'Mon Blackshear

"The Monster"
17-9-1
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Switch
Age
30
In our database 6 fights · 2-3
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. …
—
L UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley
—
W UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos …
—
W UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs…
—
L UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane
—