Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Tresean Gore
Antonio Trocoli
53%
47%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 5"
80"
30
Age
Δ 4y
34
8-4
Career record
Δ 7 pp
12-8
W1
Current streak
L1
3
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Gore: 3 sig / 1 TD ·
Trocoli: 2 sig / 0 TD
Tresean Gore
Antonio Trocoli
25
Sig strikes landed
29
33
Sig strikes attempted
46
38
Total strikes landed
59
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.6
2.8
Takedowns attempted
3.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
127s
Control time
235s
Method
Decision
36%
KO/TKO
37%
Submission
28%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Tresean Gore
"Mr. Vicious"
8-4
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Switch
Age
30
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. All…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
Blue corner
L1
Antonio Trocoli
"Malvado"
12-8
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
77"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—