Main
Middleweight
Gerald Meerschaert vs Reinier de Ridder
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Gerald Meerschaert
Reinier de Ridder
54%
46%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 0"
78"
37
Age
Δ 3y
34
W2
Current streak
—
21
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 3
Meerschaert: 30 sig / 0 TD ·
de Ridder: 38 sig / 5 TD
Gerald Meerschaert
Reinier de Ridder
25
Sig strikes landed
37
56
Sig strikes attempted
73
39
Total strikes landed
56
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.9
3.1
Takedowns attempted
1.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
118s
Control time
134s
Method
Decision
35%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
27%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Gerald Meerschaert
"GM3"
38-22
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
78"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
37
In our database
21 fights · 12-9
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Ty…
—
L
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley
—
L
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz
—
Blue corner
Reinier de Ridder
"RdR"
0-0
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
78"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
34