Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Josias Musasa
Otari Tanzilovi
57%
43%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 4"
70"
26
Age
Δ 0y
26
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Musasa: 50 sig / 1 TD ·
Tanzilovi: 68 sig / 4 TD
Josias Musasa
Otari Tanzilovi
34
Sig strikes landed
35
72
Sig strikes attempted
72
47
Total strikes landed
53
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.1
1.5
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
104s
Control time
171s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Josias Musasa
"The KO Wizard"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
26
Blue corner
Otari Tanzilovi
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26