Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Taiga Iwasaki
Yousri Belgaroui
64%
36%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 6"
79"
27
Age
Δ 5y
32
—
Current streak
L1
0
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Iwasaki: 25 sig / 0 TD ·
Belgaroui: 89 sig / 0 TD
Taiga Iwasaki
Yousri Belgaroui
38
Sig strikes landed
35
74
Sig strikes attempted
73
60
Total strikes landed
53
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.7
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
169s
Control time
127s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Taiga Iwasaki
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
Blue corner
L1
Yousri Belgaroui
10-4
Career record
Height
78"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
DWCS 7.4
—