Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Corinne Laframboise
Nicolle Caliari
43%
57%
Why
65"
Reach
Δ 3"
62"
35
Age
Δ 7y
28
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Laframboise: 15 sig / 1 TD ·
Caliari: 9 sig / 2 TD
Corinne Laframboise
Nicolle Caliari
38
Sig strikes landed
38
83
Sig strikes attempted
86
68
Total strikes landed
69
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.0
1.5
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
156s
Control time
174s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
21%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Corinne Laframboise
0-0
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
Blue corner
Nicolle Caliari
0-0
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
62"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28