Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Navajo Stirling
Phillip Latu
79%
21%
Why
79"
Reach
Δ 2"
76"
27
Age
Δ 7y
34
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Stirling: 52 sig / 0 TD ·
Latu: 25 sig / 0 TD
Navajo Stirling
Phillip Latu
39
Sig strikes landed
31
80
Sig strikes attempted
63
79
Total strikes landed
45
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.6
2.0
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
163s
Control time
90s
Method
Decision
34%
KO/TKO
49%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Navajo Stirling
0-0
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
Blue corner
Phillip Latu
"The Doctor"
0-0
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34