Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Torrez Finney
Abdellah Er-Ramy
73%
27%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 1"
74"
26
Age
Δ 2y
28
W2
Current streak
—
2
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Finney: 35 sig / 1 TD ·
Er-Ramy: 0 sig / 0 TD
Torrez Finney
Abdellah Er-Ramy
23
Sig strikes landed
20
42
Sig strikes attempted
38
50
Total strikes landed
32
2.7
Takedowns landed
-0.2
5.5
Takedowns attempted
-0.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
338s
Control time
40s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
29%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Torrez Finney
"The Punisher"
12-1
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
DWCS 8.2
—
W
DWCS 7.10
—
Blue corner
Abdellah Er-Ramy
"The Golden Boy"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28