🏆 Title fight
Main
Women's Bantamweight
Raquel Pennington vs Julianna Pena
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr.
·Delta Center
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Raquel Pennington
Julianna Pena
57%
43%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 2"
69"
36
Age
Δ 1y
35
17-10
Career record
Δ 2 pp
13-7
W6
Current streak
L1
18
UFC fights in our DB
10
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 5
Pennington: 92 sig / 0 TD ·
Pena: 92 sig / 2 TD
Raquel Pennington
Julianna Pena
68
Sig strikes landed
49
129
Sig strikes attempted
107
96
Total strikes landed
75
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.1
3.5
Takedowns attempted
3.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.00
199s
Control time
158s
Method
Decision
53%
KO/TKO
20%
Submission
27%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W6
Raquel Pennington
"Rocky"
17-10
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
18 fights · 13-5
Last 5
W
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Ples…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs.…
—
W
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Ko…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dauk…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann
—
Blue corner
L1
Julianna Pena
"The Venezuelan Vixen"
13-7
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
10 fights · 7-3
Last 5
L
UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2
—
W
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier
—
W
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana
—
W
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs…
—