Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Jack Shore
Youssef Zalal
59%
41%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 1"
72"
30
Age
Δ 2y
28
17-4
Career record
Δ 8 pp
19-6-1
L1
Current streak
W2
8
UFC fights in our DB
9
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Shore: 8 sig / 2 TD ·
Zalal: 13 sig / 1 TD
Jack Shore
Youssef Zalal
41
Sig strikes landed
33
74
Sig strikes attempted
72
61
Total strikes landed
54
1.4
Takedowns landed
1.6
3.6
Takedowns attempted
4.3
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
197s
Control time
181s
Method
Decision
56%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Jack Shore
"Tank"
17-4
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
8 fights · 6-2
Last 5
L
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg
—
W
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rod…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Asp…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Ti…
—
Blue corner
W2
Youssef Zalal
"The Moroccan Devil"
19-6-1
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Switch
Age
28
In our database
9 fights · 5-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spi…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Nama…
—
D
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Vo…
—