Prelims1
Bantamweight
Charles Jourdain vs Victor Henry
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi
·Rogers Place
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Charles Jourdain
Victor Henry
50%
50%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 1"
68"
29
Age
Δ 9y
38
18-9-1
Career record
Δ 15 pp
26-7
L2
Current streak
W2
14
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Jourdain: 39 sig / 0 TD ·
Henry: 24 sig / 4 TD
Charles Jourdain
Victor Henry
83
Sig strikes landed
71
174
Sig strikes attempted
143
103
Total strikes landed
102
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.2
2.9
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
80s
Control time
99s
Method
Decision
78%
KO/TKO
15%
Submission
7%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Charles Jourdain
"Air"
18-9-1
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
69"
Stance
Switch
Age
29
In our database
14 fights · 6-7
Last 5
L
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2
—
L
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Ples…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gam…
—
W
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuiva…
—
Blue corner
W2
Victor Henry
"La Mangosta"
26-7
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Switch
Age
38
In our database
5 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Pe…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalis…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Ara…
—
W
UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane
—