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Prelims1 Bantamweight

Serhiy Sidey vs Garrett Armfield

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi ·Rogers Place
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Serhiy Sidey
Garrett Armfield
64% 36%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
70"
28
Age
Δ 0y
28
12-3
Career record
Δ 18 pp
10-6
L1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
4

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Sidey: 68 sig / 0 TD · Armfield: 71 sig / 4 TD
Serhiy Sidey
Garrett Armfield
61
Sig strikes landed
65
141
Sig strikes attempted
132
70
Total strikes landed
80
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.9
1.6
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
90s
Control time
92s
Method
Decision
54%
KO/TKO
35%
Submission
11%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Serhiy Sidey

12-3
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
72"
Stance
Switch
Age
28
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Ples…
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Blue corner
L1

Garrett Armfield

10-6
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira
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W UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Ples…
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W UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. T…
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L UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
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