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Prelims1 Bantamweight

Chad Anheliger vs Cody Gibson

Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Chad Anheliger
Cody Gibson
41% 59%
Why
64"
Reach
Δ 6"
71"
38
Age
Δ 1y
37
14-8
Career record
Δ 2 pp
23-12
W1
Current streak
W1
4
UFC fights in our DB
7

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Anheliger: 11 sig / 0 TD · Gibson: 16 sig / 5 TD
Chad Anheliger
Cody Gibson
51
Sig strikes landed
57
112
Sig strikes attempted
126
68
Total strikes landed
69
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.6
3.3
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
160s
Control time
79s
Method
Decision
53%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
15%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Chad Anheliger

"The Monster"
14-8
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
38
In our database 4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
W UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Ty…
L UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig
L UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson
W UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill
Blue corner
W1

Cody Gibson

"The Renegade"
23-12
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database 7 fights · 2-5
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jand…
L UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Nama…
L UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley
L UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir
L UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso