Main
Women's Flyweight
Ariane da Silva vs Jasmine Jasudavicius
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi
·Rogers Place
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Ariane da Silva
Jasmine Jasudavicius
46%
54%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 1"
68"
31
Age
Δ 5y
36
17-12
Career record
Δ 21 pp
16-4
L1
Current streak
W2
12
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 3
da Silva: 42 sig / 0 TD ·
Jasudavicius: 36 sig / 3 TD
Ariane da Silva
Jasmine Jasudavicius
58
Sig strikes landed
54
128
Sig strikes attempted
132
84
Total strikes landed
88
0.6
Takedowns landed
2.7
1.3
Takedowns attempted
7.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
86s
Control time
321s
Method
Decision
79%
KO/TKO
12%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Ariane da Silva
"Queen of Violence"
17-12
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
12 fights · 6-6
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Pe…
—
W
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalis…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz
—
Blue corner
W2
Jasmine Jasudavicius
16-4
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
7 fights · 5-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. …
—
W
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Ples…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. She…
—
W
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen
—