Main
Women's Flyweight
Erin Blanchfield vs Rose Namajunas
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi
·Rogers Place
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Erin Blanchfield
Rose Namajunas
80%
20%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 1"
65"
26
Age
Δ 7y
32
14-3
Career record
Δ 16 pp
16-8
L1
Current streak
W2
7
UFC fights in our DB
16
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 5
Blanchfield: 110 sig / 2 TD ·
Namajunas: 94 sig / 1 TD
Erin Blanchfield
Rose Namajunas
66
Sig strikes landed
65
155
Sig strikes attempted
139
94
Total strikes landed
81
1.9
Takedowns landed
0.9
5.8
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
192s
Control time
111s
Method
Decision
68%
KO/TKO
21%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Erin Blanchfield
"Cold Blooded"
14-3
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
7 fights · 6-1
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. T…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Bl…
—
W
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Roz…
—
Blue corner
W2
Rose Namajunas
"Thug"
16-8
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
16 fights · 11-5
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Nama…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac
—
L
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje
—
W
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2
—