Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Brandon Moreno
Amir Albazi
54%
46%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 2"
68"
31
Age
Δ 0y
31
23-11-2
Career record
Δ 22 pp
18-3
L2
Current streak
W5
16
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 5
Moreno: 132 sig / 0 TD ·
Albazi: 63 sig / 1 TD
Brandon Moreno
Amir Albazi
59
Sig strikes landed
51
126
Sig strikes attempted
126
73
Total strikes landed
70
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.8
2.0
Takedowns attempted
5.9
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
81s
Control time
212s
Method
Decision
58%
KO/TKO
25%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Brandon Moreno
"The Assassin Baby"
23-11-2
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
16 fights · 9-5
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Roy…
—
L
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodrig…
—
W
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill
—
W
UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2
—
L
UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane
—
Blue corner
W5
Amir Albazi
"The Prince"
18-3
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
5 fights · 5-0
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
W
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards
—
W
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs.…
—