Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Kennedy Nzechukwu
Chris Barnett
59%
41%
Why
83"
Reach
Δ 8"
75"
32
Age
Δ 6y
38
14-7-1
Career record
Δ 7 pp
24-10
L2
Current streak
W1
11
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Nzechukwu: 51 sig / 0 TD ·
Barnett: 12 sig / 0 TD
Kennedy Nzechukwu
Chris Barnett
48
Sig strikes landed
38
99
Sig strikes attempted
84
66
Total strikes landed
50
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.5
1.5
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
165s
Control time
84s
Method
Decision
33%
KO/TKO
47%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Kennedy Nzechukwu
"Chosen"
14-7-1
Career record
Height
77"
Reach
83"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database
11 fights · 6-5
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Ty…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
W
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
Blue corner
W1
Chris Barnett
"Beastboy"
24-10
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
38
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
W
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muha…
—
W
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbr…
—