Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Farid Basharat
Victor Hugo
53%
47%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 0"
72"
27
Age
Δ 5y
32
16-0
Career record
Δ 16 pp
26-5
W3
Current streak
W1
3
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Basharat: 60 sig / 4 TD ·
Hugo: 45 sig / 1 TD
Farid Basharat
Victor Hugo
41
Sig strikes landed
42
89
Sig strikes attempted
75
86
Total strikes landed
57
3.1
Takedowns landed
0.1
7.6
Takedowns attempted
0.5
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
283s
Control time
25s
Method
Decision
64%
KO/TKO
24%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Farid Basharat
"Ferocious"
16-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. W…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac
—
W
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane
—
Blue corner
W1
Victor Hugo
"Striker"
26-5
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curt…
—