Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Will Currie
Djorden Santos
59%
41%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 1"
76"
26
Age
Δ 1y
27
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Currie: 41 sig / 2 TD ·
Santos: 85 sig / 1 TD
Will Currie
Djorden Santos
37
Sig strikes landed
33
76
Sig strikes attempted
67
54
Total strikes landed
49
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.2
2.0
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
125s
Control time
132s
Method
Decision
36%
KO/TKO
50%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Will Currie
"Drago"
0-0
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
77"
Stance
Switch
Age
26
Blue corner
Djorden Santos
"Shakur"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27