Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Seokhyeon Ko
Igor Cavalcanti
55%
45%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 8"
80"
31
Age
Δ 4y
27
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Ko: 54 sig / 2 TD ·
Cavalcanti: 50 sig / 1 TD
Seokhyeon Ko
Igor Cavalcanti
34
Sig strikes landed
38
67
Sig strikes attempted
76
49
Total strikes landed
51
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.3
Takedowns attempted
1.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
136s
Control time
126s
Method
Decision
45%
KO/TKO
37%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Seokhyeon Ko
"The Korean Tyson"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31
Blue corner
Igor Cavalcanti
"Jacare"
0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27