Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Daniel Zellhuber
Esteban Ribovics
61%
39%
Why
77"
Reach
Δ 8"
69"
25
Age
Δ 3y
28
16-4
Career record
Δ 4 pp
16-3
W3
Current streak
W2
4
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Zellhuber: 121 sig / 0 TD ·
Ribovics: 156 sig / 0 TD
Daniel Zellhuber
Esteban Ribovics
60
Sig strikes landed
60
155
Sig strikes attempted
121
67
Total strikes landed
62
0.5
Takedowns landed
0.5
1.7
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
77s
Control time
26s
Method
Decision
49%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Daniel Zellhuber
"Golden Boy"
16-4
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
77"
Stance
Switch
Age
25
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Roy…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. She…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. A…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
Blue corner
W2
Esteban Ribovics
"El Gringo"
16-3
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nasc…
—
W
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodrig…
—
L
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane
—