Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Ronaldo Rodriguez
Ode Osbourne
87%
13%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 8"
73"
25
Age
Δ 7y
33
18-3
Career record
Δ 29 pp
13-10
W1
Current streak
L2
1
UFC fights in our DB
9
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Rodriguez: 35 sig / 1 TD ·
Osbourne: 37 sig / 1 TD
Ronaldo Rodriguez
Ode Osbourne
31
Sig strikes landed
24
58
Sig strikes attempted
59
48
Total strikes landed
30
1.6
Takedowns landed
0.6
3.7
Takedowns attempted
1.1
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
207s
Control time
64s
Method
Decision
38%
KO/TKO
33%
Submission
29%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Ronaldo Rodriguez
"Lazy Boy"
18-3
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Roy…
—
Blue corner
L2
Ode Osbourne
"The Jamaican Sensation"
13-10
(2 NC)
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
73"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
33
In our database
9 fights · 4-5
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Ty…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Roz…
—