Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Manuel Torres
Ignacio Bahamondes
58%
42%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 2"
76"
30
Age
Δ 2y
27
18-3
Career record
Δ 14 pp
18-7
W3
Current streak
W1
3
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Torres: 20 sig / 0 TD ·
Bahamondes: 31 sig / 0 TD
Manuel Torres
Ignacio Bahamondes
46
Sig strikes landed
38
100
Sig strikes attempted
74
51
Total strikes landed
51
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.8
3.2
Takedowns attempted
1.2
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
68s
Control time
50s
Method
Decision
39%
KO/TKO
42%
Submission
19%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Manuel Torres
"El Loco"
18-3
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
74"
Stance
Switch
Age
30
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Roy…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Ca…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—
Blue corner
W1
Ignacio Bahamondes
"La Jaula"
18-7
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curt…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
W
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—