Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Feng Xiaocan
Miki Motono
79%
21%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 4"
63"
23
Age
Δ 8y
30
W1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Xiaocan: 63 sig / 0 TD ·
Motono: 19 sig / 3 TD
Feng Xiaocan
Miki Motono
42
Sig strikes landed
28
100
Sig strikes attempted
62
62
Total strikes landed
53
1.7
Takedowns landed
1.1
1.8
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
179s
Control time
134s
Method
Decision
57%
KO/TKO
21%
Submission
22%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Feng Xiaocan
"Little Flower"
12-5
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
23
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
Road to UFC 3.1 + 3.2
—
Blue corner
Miki Motono
0-0
Career record
Height
62"
Reach
63"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30