Main
Women's Strawweight
Angela Hill vs Tabatha Ricci
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Angela Hill
Tabatha Ricci
32%
68%
Why
64"
Reach
Δ 4"
61"
40
Age
Δ 10y
30
20-16
Career record
Δ 21 pp
13-4
W2
Current streak
W1
25
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Hill: 112 sig / 0 TD ·
Ricci: 101 sig / 3 TD
Angela Hill
Tabatha Ricci
72
Sig strikes landed
68
145
Sig strikes attempted
191
93
Total strikes landed
102
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.3
1.7
Takedowns attempted
4.4
1.50
Knockdowns
0.00
140s
Control time
190s
Method
Decision
76%
KO/TKO
15%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Angela Hill
"Overkill"
20-16
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
40
In our database
25 fights · 12-13
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Mu…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Le…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. H…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz
—
Blue corner
W1
Tabatha Ricci
"Baby Shark"
13-4
Career record
Height
61"
Reach
61"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
7 fights · 5-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nasc…
—
L
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Top…
—
W
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira
—