Main
Middleweight
Jared Cannonier vs Caio Borralho
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Jared Cannonier
Caio Borralho
32%
68%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 2"
75"
40
Age
Δ 9y
32
18-10
Career record
Δ 26 pp
19-2
L1
Current streak
W6
17
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 5
Cannonier: 83 sig / 0 TD ·
Borralho: 153 sig / 0 TD
Jared Cannonier
Caio Borralho
44
Sig strikes landed
49
77
Sig strikes attempted
101
58
Total strikes landed
68
0.1
Takedowns landed
1.9
0.4
Takedowns attempted
4.8
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
25s
Control time
182s
Method
Decision
58%
KO/TKO
25%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Jared Cannonier
"The Killa Gorilla"
18-10
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
78"
Stance
Switch
Age
40
In our database
17 fights · 10-7
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Ca…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
L
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier
—
W
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker…
—
Blue corner
W6
Caio Borralho
"The Natural"
19-2
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database
6 fights · 6-0
Last 5
W
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Le…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon
—
W
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
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